How the Detroit Pistons earned the bleakest future in the NBA
Even the worst teams offer slivers of hope for the future. Despite the losses that continue to pile up, the Detroit Pistons only find ways to sink deeper.
Travel back to April 24, 2016. The Detroit Pistons sulked off their homecourt, swept out of the playoffs by the eventual champion Cleveland Cavaliers.
What Detroit lacked in wins was made up for in a level of competitive fervor that bred hope for the future. Games 1 and 4 were decided by a total of seven points. Game 3 was only clinched by Cleveland in the final minute thanks to a deep corner triple by Kyrie Irving.
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All five Detroit starters averaged double-figures across the four games. Rookie Stanley Johnson, the reigning eighth overall pick, turned heads for his unwillingness to bow before The King.
Reggie Jackson blossomed as a full-time starting point guard during the regular season. Andre Drummond had been named a first-time All-Star. Tobias Harris proved to be a commendable acquisition after coming over from the Orlando Magic in February.
Their season was over, but the groundwork had been laid. Maybe not for a title contender, but for that which Detroit had been lacking since parting ways with the glory days of the 2000s: A perennial playoff team with room to grow.
Four years later and the Pistons have been worse than bad. They’ve been so frustratingly mediocre, really for the entirety of the last decade, that progress towards either end of the competitive spectrum has been non-existent.
After those encouraging 2016 playoffs, Detroit fell victim to the excess amount of cap space at their disposal, signing Drummond to a five-year, $130 million contract. And risk losing him for nothing, they had little choice but to acquiesce to the lofty figure when it came to re-signing their first All-Star since Allen Iverson in 2009 following their first playoff appearance in seven years.
As talented a rebounder as he is, however, that type of money is reserved for those capable of single-handedly moving the franchise needle, which Drummond never showed.
Jon Leuer had averaged 8.5 points per game with the Phoenix Suns and was promptly given $41 million over four years by the Pistons as team president Stan Van Gundy overestimated his ability to produce as a stretch-4.
To get anywhere worth going in the NBA, you need stars to help take you there. An offensively-limited center wouldn’t be enough. That much was proven when the Pistons failed to return to the playoffs in 2017, prompting the acquisition of Blake Griffin in January of 2018.
His name was a significant boost to the roster sheet, but Griffin hadn’t been an All-Star since 2015 and hadn’t played in more than 70 games since 2014.
That didn’t stop the LA Clippers from handing him a five-year, $173 million contract. A questionable sum Detroit happily absorbed in exchange for Tobias Harris, whose perimeter-based game is perhaps a smoother — and cheaper — fit alongside Drummond, and the 2018 first-rounder that netted LA Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Committing over $300 million for a relatively antiquated frontcourt is not a recipe for success at a time where lineup sizes are trending in the opposite direction.
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Griffin surprised the masses in his first full year in Detroit, returning to the All-Star Game and helping the Pistons back to the playoffs across 75 outings. It was a one-off experience, though, as injuries held him to just 18 games in 2019-20.
Detroit unloaded Drummond last February before coming face-to-face with his free agency, but the scraps brought back showed everything you need to know about his value around the league.
Over the last 10 years, the Pistons have won 40-plus games only twice, representing their only two playoff seasons that ended without a single victory. Despite eight losing seasons, they’ve finished no lower than 12th in the Eastern Conference standings, picking only as high as seventh in the NBA Draft.
Their 20 wins is the fewest this century — albeit in fewer games — good for the fifth-best chance at the No. 1 pick, albeit in a lottery with flattened odds and a draft class of underwhelming options.
Whatever pick they wind up with, past drafts haven’t bred much encouragement. Pessimism dates back as far as 2012, where Khris Middleton was selected in the second round before being traded a year later. Same applies to Spencer Dinwiddie in 2014.
Luke Kennard one spot ahead of Donovan Mitchell. Henry Ellenson over either Malik Beasley or Caris LeVert. Johnson over Justise Winslow. There is an alternate reality where the Pistons have one of the best young cores in the league, but this isn’t it.
Each of the four teams with a worse record than Detroit can claim solace in pieces that show promise of a brighter future.
The Golden State Warriors will see the return of the Splash Brothers. The Atlanta Hawks house one of the most electric young floor generals and a cast of brimming talent. The Minnesota Timberwolves have a potent offensive duo in Karl-Anthony Towns and D’Angelo Russell. Even the Cleveland Cavaliers have intrigue coming out of their backcourt.
One of the few bright spots of Detroit’s season, Christian Wood, is expected to get offers in free agency the Pistons can’t compete with. The list drops off significantly from there.
Kennard posted breakout numbers in his third year but only managed 28 games. Sekou Doumbouya showed flashes but is still an incredibly raw 19-year-old.
This is the future awaiting the Pistons. A draft history littered with all the wrong choices. No budding stars to watch blossom or cap space to fill with cunning trades to bring in more draft capital. Likely no superstar looking to leverage their way to the Motor City.
Need the name Josh Smith be mentioned as a reminder of Detroit’s futility?
After shedding Drummond and Jackson, maybe the bottom becomes within reach. With two veterans in Griffin and Derrick Rose setting the competitive tone, such tactics seem unlikely.
Having spent 10 years with the Oklahoma City Thunder, newly appointed general manager Troy Weaver aided two of the smoothest transitions a franchise has undergone from one era to the next, from Kevin Durant to Russell Westbrook to Chris Paul.
Perhaps he’s the one to right the ship. But before that can happen, the Pistons first have to figure out what doing so looks like. The answer — full-on teardown — has been clear for several years now. Until those within the organization realize it, don’t expect Detroit to make the headlines anytime soon, for better or worse.