Miami Heat: Trading Tyler Herro doesn’t make sense right now

PORTLAND, OREGON - APRIL 11: Tyler Herro #14 of the Miami Heat takes a shot in the second quarter against the Portland Trail Blazers at Moda Center on April 11, 2021 in Portland, Oregon. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images)
PORTLAND, OREGON - APRIL 11: Tyler Herro #14 of the Miami Heat takes a shot in the second quarter against the Portland Trail Blazers at Moda Center on April 11, 2021 in Portland, Oregon. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images) /

 How Jimmy Butler’s weaknesses impact the Miami Heat offense

Miami’s unwillingness to put those players in the proper positions to succeed is partly related to the deficiencies of their star, Butler. Butler has generated a substantial portion of his offensive production inside the restricted area as he shot 66 percent on 7.2 attempts per game. The field goal percentage has allowed him to score 7.2 points per game: 34.8 percent of his scoring output over the past two seasons.

If Butler steps out of the restricted area, he isn’t the same player as he has shot 34.5 percent outside of the restricted area since 2019 on 8.1 attempts. His shooting has declined by 3.1 percent over the past two years, as before 2019, he shot 37.5 percent on 9.7 attempts per game. Butler’s shooting decline is related to a sprained wrist he sustained in January of 2019.

Consequently, it is unrealistic to expect Miami to change their offense, even if they acquire an impact player, because of their main star in Butler. Therefore, those players will most likely be used as a floor spacer, a skill set in which Herro already thrives.

Herro has made 41.3 percent of his catch and shoots in his first two seasons on 2.9 attempts per game. 52.7 percent of those attempts were catch and shoots, as he shot 37.5 percent from behind the arc on 5.5 attempts per game.

More importantly, Herro will only make $4 million next season, at least 86.4 percent less than any other impact player. For instance, Ingram and McCollum will make a minimum of $29.4 and $30.8 million per year, respectively, over the next three seasons.

Consequently, Miami’s reluctance to change their offensive system due to their star’s deficiency suggests that they’ll be better off keeping Herro instead of trading for an impact player.

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