1. Lack of potential
The two previous concerns compound for the greatest overall concern with Herro: he doesn’t have much, if any, star potential, which is what Miami needs desperately.
Given Herro’s weaknesses, his outlook at stardom isn’t very good. While his shooting will likely be good, not much else about his game is enticing. His effort on defense will be neutralized by his own short wingspan.
His lack of explosiveness and jumping ability will make it harder to finish at the rim.
Herro’s silky-smooth jump shot will likely be enough to keep him around the league for a while, but at what level can he play at? What role can a player with an unideal frame and decent athleticism have?
In a league that emphasizes switchability on defense, Herro is the antithesis of an ideal defender. His offense will always be his strong suit, but just how strong it’ll be is up in the air.
His fit at shooting guard remains to be seen. Herro has the height to play shooting guard, but not the length. It’s possible that he becomes a point guard at some point in his career, as he did show some ability to make plays for teammates.
At 6-foot-6, he would be on the taller side for the position. Still, he isn’t a floor general.
The saving grace at play here is that Herro is only 19 years old. He’ll have plenty of time to figure it out if Miami is patient. With how they brought along Justise Winslow and Josh Richardson, it seems like they won’t rush Herro into a role he isn’t ready for.
Miami has shown with Winslow, Richardson, and Bam Adebayo that they can develop young talent, so they might be one of the best organizations for Herro to be a part of.
With Herro’s skillset, he could be a good fit in Miami, but he likely won’t become a face of the franchise. His offense gives him a somewhat high floor, but his frame and lack of athleticism give him a low ceiling.
Miami seems to be betting hard that he develops into a fantastic scorer. While he showed great promise in college, his game translating to the NBA is not a clear cut path.