Toronto Raptors: 2015-16 Season Outlook

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Apr 11, 2015; Miami, FL, USA; Toronto Raptors center Jonas Valanciunas (17) reacts after fouling out of the game during the second half against the Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 11, 2015; Miami, FL, USA; Toronto Raptors center Jonas Valanciunas (17) reacts after fouling out of the game during the second half against the Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports /

Three Key Storylines

1. Can Jonas Valanciunas make the much-predicted leap in 2015-16?

It’s coming. Trust us.

We’ve been hearing since big Lithuanian center Jonas Valanciunas signed with the Raptors in 2012 that he was on the cusp of stardom.

Three years later and it appears that was a pretty big cusp he was trying to break through.

The next time he averages even 30 minutes a game for a season will be the first. He’s uber-efficient, shooting 57.2 percent from the floor last year, but he only got eight shots a game.

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His scoring bumped up last season to 12 points a night, his assists are still negligible (39 in 80 games in today’s catch-and-shoot NBA is a glaring problem) and his rim protecting abilities are average.

According to Nylon Calculus, Valanciunas saved 2.01 points per 36 minutes (1.46 per game) at the rim last season, allowing opponents to shoot 46.5 percent and contesting almost half (49.7 percent) of the shots he faced.

And therein lies the rub with Valanciunas. His 5.5 fouls per 36 minutes last season was the best mark of his career, down from 5.7 in 2013-14 and an astonishing 6.7 as a rookie in 2012-13.

Simply put, the guy is in foul trouble almost from the opening tip.

Until he fixes that problem, we’re still going to keep hearing the “on the cusp of stardom” thing.

Next: Storyline: Is Less Kyle Lowry More For The Raptors?