Charlotte Bobcats: Revisiting The 2011 NBA Draft

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In 2011 the Charlotte Bobcats selected Kemba Walker with the ninth pick in the NBA draft. The former Connecticut Husky was coming off a dream NCAA season: winning the NCAA and Big East tournaments. Despite dominating the college basketball scene, Kemba’s professional scouting report didn’t look so hot. Listed at 6’1’’ and 172 pounds, many experts deemed Kemba a risk due to his size–or lack thereof. The GOAT himself, Michael Jordan, decided to take a risk on the Bronx native by picking him with the ninth pick. Did the Bobcats make the right move? Let’s take a look.

When doing my research, I realized how much of a disappointment the 2011 draft class has been so far. Here are the first round picks and some key second round picks from that draft:

  Round 1Advanced
PkTmPlayerWSWS/48
1CLEKyrie Irving9.4.125
2MINDerrick Williams4.8.069
3UTAEnes Kanter4.0.098
4CLETristan Thompson6.4.077
5TORJonas Valanciunas3.9.127
6WASJan Vesely2.4.070
7SACBismack Biyombo2.0.026
8DETBrandon Knight2.4.025
9CHAKemba Walker5.1.053
10MILJimmer Fredette1.3.031
11GSWKlay Thompson6.0.063
12UTAAlec Burks2.5.058
13PHOMarkieff Morris3.2.050
14HOUMarcus Morris1.6.047
15INDKawhi Leonard11.7.168
16PHINikola Vucevic7.5.107
17NYKIman Shumpert4.4.078
18WASChris Singleton2.1.043
19CHATobias Harris3.3.089
20MINDonatas Motiejunas0.7.061
21PORNolan Smith-0.8-0.047
22DENKenneth Faried12.4.181
23HOUNikola Mirotic  
24OKCReggie Jackson2.6.084
25BOSMarShon Brooks2.1.039
26DALJordan Hamilton1.1.083
27NJNJaJuan Johnson0.2.032
28CHINorris Cole0.6.011
29SASCory Joseph0.9.068
30CHIJimmy Butler8.1.156
  Round 2Advanced
PkTmPlayerWSWS/48
38HOUChandler Parsons10.4.109
50PHILavoy Allen4.1.086
60SACIsaiah Thomas9.3.118

Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/8/2013.

Going off win shares, the NBA version of WAR, here are the top 10 players from that draft class:

  1. Kenneth Faried
  2. Kawhi Leonard
  3. Chandler Parsons
  4. Kyrie Irving
  5. Isaiah Thomas
  6. Jimmy Butler
  7. Nikola Vucevic
  8. Tristan Thompson
  9. Klay Thompson
  10. Kemba Walker

It looks like the Kings got an absolute steal in Isaiah Thomas. Jimmy Butler was a steal as well. By no means is this list ranking the best players from that draft class. I’m using the wins shared statistic as a general benchmark as to what the players have done so far in the NBA. This ranking is also not indicative of the future. Irving is obviously the best player in this draft, but injuries have caused him to miss plenty of games. If healthy, Irving should top this list by the end of the season.

Back to the subject at hand-did the Bobcats do right by selecting Kemba? Well, they picked him ninth overall in the draft and he currently ranks 10th. Does he have a high ceiling? I think so. Just take a look at his improvement in wins shared from year one to year two:

SeasonAgeTmPosWSWS/48
2011-1221CHAPG0.3.009
2012-1322CHAPG4.8.080
Career   5.1.053

Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/9/2013.

I think the numbers speak for themselves. Kemba had no sophomore slump. He elevated his game. It will be interesting to see what happens in year three. I consider each player’s third year as his make-or-break season. To me, a player’s third year is very telling on his future success. I believe Kemba will continue improving and will move up on the list above. I think Michael Jordan made a great move in drafting the Connecticut star. Do you think Kemba was worth the ninth pick in the draft?

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