Boston Celtics: Who To Re-sign, Who To Let Go

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Mandatory Credit: Mark L. Baer-USA TODAY Sports

With the Boston Celtics season coming to an end, all eyes turn towards the NBA Draft and the free agency period. For a rebuilding team like Boston, free agency could make or break their future.

The Celtics will see six of their current players hitting the market this summer, which raises the question; which ones should they let walk, and which ones should they bring back?

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Tags: Avery Bradley Boston Celtics Jerryd Bayless Keith Bogans Kris Humphries Phil Pressey Vitor Faverani

  • Joe Kidd

    Humphries impressed for the Celtics this season, and he was impressive from watching the games. He rebounds well, he’s a better jump-shooter with better range than one would have imagined, and he has a good feel for the game, knowing how to run the court and move into open spaces. However, with Jared Sullinger and Kelly Olynyk offering greater upside and cheaper prices, the Celtics possess little incentive to bring Humphries back.

    Averaging 14.9 points on .438 field goal shooting for a team that won 25 games hardly makes you an offensive star, especially when you’re a guard with more turnovers than assists. But Bradley has continued to develop as a shooter (.395 on threes last season in 3.3 attempts per game), and that long-range shooting ability, combined with his athleticism and defense, render him a player that the Celtics should retain. Yet with poor passing ability for a guard and substandard ability to reach the free throw line and score efficiently inside the arc, Bradley is far from a star and will probably never be a star. His combination of three-point shooting and defense could make him a good player, but certainly not a franchise player.

    Bayless isn’t a true point guard, but unlike Pressey, he can provide some scoring punch off the bench. So long as Rondo could be traded and Bradley remains injury-prone, Bayless could provide useful depth and offense off the bench, but only at a modest price.

    Pressey is a good passer with a good assists-to-turnover ratio (2.77:1.00), but he’s tiny and a terrible shooter. The Celtics could bring Pressey back for another year, especially since Rondo will be a trade candidate so long as he remains unsigned beyond 2015. But I hardly think that bringing Pressey back would necessarily be a “savvy” move by the Celtics; he is not a difference-maker. How was he “extremely valuable” to Boston this past season? Yes, he provided depth at point guard and averaged 11.8 assists in his final four starts, but with his horrifying .390 True Shooting Percentage for the season (.490 would be atrocious for a season), he almost certainly hurt the team.

    The Celtics should bring back Faverani and his age isn’t a concern, but I hardly think that he’d constitute “an extremely valuable addition.” The guy shot .435 from the field and posted over twice as many turnovers as assists.

    By the way, PER, Win Shares, Offensive Win Shares (or Defensive Win Shares), and Defensive Rating (for individual players, as opposed to teams) are not reliable metrics at all (Steal Percentage isn’t that useful, either). PER is especially egregious given how, among other flaws, it mistakenly applies team pace factors to individual performance. Based on those fallacious metrics, Amare Stoudemire was a more valuable player to the Suns than Steve Nash.