Denver Nuggets: Ranking potential first-round opponents
By James Siegle
Oklahoma City Thunder:
Denver’s matchup desirability: 2nd
Regular Season Record to date: 1-1
Projected Probability to win series: Denver 75/25
Nikola Jokic vs. team: 30.0 points, 10.5 rebounds, 8.5 assists per game
Jamal Murray vs. team: 17.5 points, 5.5 assists per game
Biggest Problem Players: Chris Paul, Danilo Gallinari, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Dennis Schroeder
The Oklahoma City Thunder are a strange story, as they blew up the squad last offseason, and were projected to occupy a spot near the Western Conference cellar. Nonetheless, they currently hold the fifth seed, due to a well-balanced revival of veterans and rise of young players.
Chris Paul (17.7 points, 6.8 assists per game) may have lost a step, but he’s shown plenty in the tank, harnessing the best versions of his teammates. Former Nugget Danilo Gallinari (19.2 points per game) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (19.3 ppg) have enjoyed monster seasons alongside Paul. Off the bench, Dennis Schroeder (19.0 ppg) could cause problems, as the Nuggets don’t possess comparable second-unit scoring.
What Denver does have, however, is far-and-away the best player in the series in Jokic. He torched the Thunder in two games, averaging 30.0 points per contest on an insane 79.3 percent shooting (23-of-29 from the field). Denver also has defenders capable of limiting the Thunder’s scorers, as Paul Millsap, Jerami Grant, Gary Harris and Torrey Craig should contain OKC’s collection of solid-but-not-superb attackers.
If Denver plays through Jokic offensively, while keeping the Thunder’s scorers in check on the stopping end, this is a very winnable series.