Who will go No. 1 overall in the 2016 NBA Draft? Who will be selected in the 59 picks that follow?
The 2016 NBA Draft is shaping up to be one of the most influential in recent history. Many have debated the overall level talent in the prospect pool, but 14 of the first 30 picks are currently projected to go to a grand total of five teams.
If utilized properly, those picks could be turned into a massive haul through the draft or a groundbreaking trade.
Those five teams aren’t alone in their opportunity to achieve future greatness through the 2016 NBA Draft. Both in the first and second rounds, there are incredible opportunities for teams to find players who will round out their respective rotations for years to come.
Clarity was created and opportunity presented itself with the results of the draft-order tiebreakers.
Clearly, the draft order will change once the lottery is held and the ping pong balls bounce in the favor of three fortunate teams. The tiebreakers have created a measure of temporary stability, however, which enables one to evaluate what a team could be looking for come draft night.
The question is, how would the 2016 NBA Draft play out if it were to transpire today?
Next: Philadelphia 76ers
1. Philadelphia 76ers: Ben Simmons, LSU Tigers
Position: Forward
Age: 19 (7/20/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’10”, 240 pounds, 7’0.25″”
Slash Line: .560/.333/.670
Season Averages: 34.9 MPG, 19.2 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 3.1 ORPG, 4.8 APG, 2.0 SPG, 0.8 BPG
Assuming the Philadelphia 76ers land the No. 1 overall selection, and the Los Angeles Lakers retain the rights to their draft pick, this can be described as an unpredictable predicament. Ben Simmons is my No. 1 overall prospect, but Brandon Ingram is a much better fit in Philadelphia.
Assuming Philadelphia believes Simmons can play small forward, it will have every reason to gamble on Simmons.
Ingram makes sense stylistically, but Simmons is the type of transcendent talent who Sam Hinkie was routinely tanking for. Furthermore, all Jerry Colangelo teams have featured a forward who can can dominate the glass and be utilized in a versatile manner.
Simmons is nothing like Chris Bosh or Amar’e Stoudemire, but his ability to play both the 3 and the 4 is invaluable.
There’s already a logjam down low with Joel Embiid, Nerlens Noel, Jahlil Okafor, and, soon, Dario Saric fighting to be the franchise big man. Thus, I can entirely understand why some would label Ingram as the player who better fits the team as a sharpshooter who plays the 3.
Head coach Brett Brown helped Kawhi Leonard fix his jump shot, and associate head coach Mike D’Antoni knows how to use a gifted playmaker on offense. This only makes sense.
Next: Los Angeles Lakers
2. Los Angeles Lakers: Brandon Ingram, Duke Blue Devils
Position: Small Forward
Age: 18 (9/2/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’9.5″, 196 pounds, 7’3″
Slash Line: .441/.413/.688
Season Averages: 34.6 MPG, 16.8 PPG, 17.3 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 2.0 APG, 1.4 BPG, 1.1 SPG, 2.2 3PM
Assuming the Los Angeles Lakers hold onto the No. 2 overall selection, this comes down to a question of who’s available. Whomever remains after the Philadelphia 76ers choose between Brandon Ingram and Ben Simmons is who the Lakers will draft.
In this scenario, the Lakers luck out and land Ingram.
Los Angeles already has two building blocks in point guard D’Angelo Russell and power forward Julius Randle. Both have high ceilings with the ball in their hands, all the while flashing the abilities to be positive contributors in off-ball situations.
Thus, adding Simmons could subsequently stunt their growth due to the fact that he needs the ball in his hands to be successful.
Ingram, meanwhile, is an outstanding shooter with legitimate 3-point range and a Kevin Durant-like stroke. He’s also a committed defender who works his tail off and, by all accounts, is an outstanding teammate.
Simmons may be the superior talent from a pure upside perspective, but Ingram is the perfect fit for the Lakers.
Next: Boston Celtics
3. Boston Celtics (via Nets): Dragan Bender, Maccabi Tel Aviv
Position: Power Forward
Age: 18 (11/17/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 7’0.5″, 216 pounds, 7’2″
Slash Line: .442/.391/.778
Season Averages: 12.1 MPG, 4.6 PPG, 2.3 RPG, 0.8 ORPG, 0.7 BPG, 0.8 3PM
After Brandon Ingram and Ben Simmons, the general consensus is that Dragan Bender is the best prospect available. He’s been on the NBA Draft radar for multiple years, which is a testament to how early his talent was recognized, and how deeply his game has been studied.
Standing at just under 7’1″ with a 7’2″ wingspan, a 9’3″ standing reach, and a well-rounded offensive game, Bender is the obvious choice for the Boston Celtics.
Bender needs to add a significant amount of weight to his frame in order to live up to his potential at the next level. He’s too thin to bang down low, which would thus impede him from executing the balanced offensive attack which makes him so special.
The reality is, Bender is already more fundamentally polished as an offensive player than most who are four years older than he—and that doesn’t even begin to lower his ceiling.
For the Celtics, adding Bender would effectively diversify the offensive attack. Bender has potential as a shot-blocker, but he’ll make his name as a versatile offensive force with the potential to be an All-Star for many years to come.
Boston needs to invest in a potential franchise player, and Bender would be the perfect player to groom under head coach Brad Stevens.
Next: Phoenix Suns
4. Phoenix Suns: Jaylen Brown, California Golden Bears
Position: Small Forward
Age: 19 (10/24/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’6.5″, 222 pounds, 7’0.5″
Slash Line: .435/.300/.651
Season Averages: 27.9 MPG, 15.0 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 2.0 APG, 0.8 SPG, 0.7 BPG, 0.9 3PM
The Phoenix Suns have a decision that comes down to Jaylen Brown, Kris Dunn, and Jamal Murray. Due to the fact that Eric Bledsoe, Devin Booker, and Brandon Knight already call Phoenix’s backcourt home, Dunn and Murray, two guards, are ruled out.
Thus, Jaylen Brown steps in as the upside player to be developed in Phoenix.
Brown is a physically imposing player who stands at a muscular 6’7″ and 222 pounds with a near 7’1″ wingspan. He’s still raw in the development of his skills, but his physical gifts are enough to intrigue even the most jaded of general managers.
For Ryan McDonough, reaching for a Henry Ellenson or a Jakob Poeltl is entirely possible, but it’s Brown who makes the most sense at this current juncture.
Brown can help round out the Suns’ transition offense as an above-the-rim finisher who can get out and run. His defensive potential is immense, as well, and while he may not be consistent on that end just yet, the right coach can change that.
Whom the Suns hire as the next head coach will go a long way towards determining how successful Brown is in the NBA.
Next: Minnesota Timberwolves
5. Minnesota Timberwolves: Kris Dunn, Providence Friars
Position: Point Guard
Age: 22 (3/18/1994)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’4″, 205 pounds, 6’9″
Slash Line: .442/.340/.689
Season Averages: 33.0 MPG, 16.4 PPG, 6.2 APG, 5.3 RPG, 2.5 SPG, 1.3 3PM
The Minnesota Timberwolves have one of the best facilitators and defensive playmakers in the NBA in point guard Ricky Rubio. Unfortunately for Minnesota, Rubio can’t seem to score from anywhere on the court—something evidenced by his career field goal percentage of .368.
Due to Rubio’s overwhelming inefficiency, it’s hard not to view Kris Dunn as the perfect prospect for the Timberwolves to select at No. 5 overall.
Dunn does much of what Rubio does, possessing elite potential as both a facilitator and on-ball defender. He’s a much better finisher and shooter, however, which is something that would help open the floor for the Timberwolves.
Dunn and Rubio are also both 6’4″ point guards, which further displays how ideal a signing this would be.
There may be some players with a higher ceiling than Dunn, but he’s the perfect player for Minnesota. He’ll help create shots for Andrew Wiggins and Karl-Anthony Towns, a la Rubio, but will also space the floor with his 3-point jump shot.
In turn, teams would have a significantly more difficult time sealing off Wiggins’ driving lanes and going under screens against the pick-and-roll.
Next: New Orleans Pelicans
6. New Orleans Pelicans: Jamal Murray, Kentucky Wildcats
Position: Shooting Guard
Age: 19 (2/23/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’5″, 204 pounds, 6’7″
Slash Line: .456/.421/.788
Season Averages: 35.2 MPG, 20.1 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.0 SPG, 3.2 3PM
According to Jim Eichenhofer of Pelicans.com, head coach Alvin Gentry called Anthony Davis and Jrue Holiday the New Orleans Pelicans’ core. In other words, Davis and Holiday are the franchise players, and they aren’t going to be dealt or replaced.
Thus, the Pelicans select Kentucky Wildcats shooting guard Jamal Murray—the player who can be what Eric Gordon was supposed to be.
Murray is essentially Buddy Hield with better handles, positional versatility, and higher upside. He may not have the length one desires from a 2, but he’s an outstanding shooter with the court vision to run point in a pinch.
That’s something New Orleans will likely ask Murray to do, whether Holiday stays healthy or not.
Gentry knows how to maximize the value of a shooter, and he runs an offense that utilizes a number of different ball-handlers. Murray’s ability to work off-ball, as well as his upside as a facilitator, makes him the perfect selection.
Murray must improve his defensive consistency, but he can be an excellent fit in New Orleans.
Next: Denver Nuggets
7. Denver Nuggets (via Knicks): Buddy Hield, Oklahoma Sooners
Position: Shooting Guard
Age: 22 (12/17/1993)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’4.5″, 215 pounds, 6’8.5″
Slash Line: .496/.464/.895
Season Averages: 35.0 MPG, 25.0 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 2.1 APG, 1.2 SPG, 4.0 3PM
The Denver Nuggets are in a very interesting position entering the 2016 NBA Draft. They have many options to choose from, but the two at the front of the pack are power forward Henry Ellenson and shooting guard Buddy Hield.
As exciting as it would be to see Ellenson and Nikola Jokic teaming up on offense, the best option at this current time is Hield.
Gary Harris has superior 3-and-D potential, but Hield is a genuinely elite shooter who would fit wonderfully in Michael Malone’s system. He can work off-ball and utilize screens to create open looks, and is just as lethal when pulling up and shooting off the bounce.
Having an elite shooter in the backcourt would be a vital development for a team that is building around Emmanuel Mudiay.
Ellenson is admittedly intriguing, but neither he nor Jokic have the desirable level of athleticism to stop the pick-and-roll defensively. Hield isn’t exactly a defensive ace, but he has an elite skill, which makes his weakness easier to accept.
Another player could overtake Hield by season’s end, but after seeing what Malone did with Klay Thompson, it’s hard not to be intrigued by this match.
Next: Toronto Raptors
8. Toronto Raptors (via Nuggets): Henry Ellenson, Marquette Golden Eagles
Position: Power Forward
Age: 19 (1/13/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’10.5″, 231 pounds, 7’2″
Slash Line: .
Season Averages: 33.5 MPG, 17.0 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 2.2 ORPG, 1.8 APG, 1.5 BPG, 0.8 SPG, 0.9 3PM
Assuming the Toronto Raptors remain where they are in the 2016 NBA Draft, there are few better outcomes than this. Toronto needs a big man who can space the floor and consistently play from the post, which is much harder to find than it seems.
Marquette Golden Eagles star Henry Ellenson has the potential to be that player.
Ellenson is one of the best defensive rebounders in this draft class, which is a strength that fits Dwane Casey’s system. He’ll pull down boards, make accurate outlet passes, and help facilitate the Raptors’ transition attack with the likes of DeMarre Carroll, DeMar DeRozan, Kyle Lowry, and Terrence Ross.
More importantly, Ellenson is one of the most offensively versatile players available.
Ellenson, a powerful 6’10” and 231 pounds, has the bruising body and touch around the basket to be a reliable low-post scoring presence. He also has an intriguing jump shot that includes his improving 3-point range—a strength that isn’t yet polished, but in existence.
Jonas Valanciunas is progressing well as a rebounder and defensive asset, but Toronto needs an offensive player of Ellenson’s breed.
Next: Sacramento Kings
9. Sacramento Kings: Timothe Luwawu, Mega Leks
Position: Shooting Guard
Age: 20 (5/9/1995)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’7″, 205 pounds, 6’11”
Slash Line: .398/.372/.690
Season Averages: 31.1 MPG, 14.6 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 2.8 APG, 1.7 SPG, 2.1 3PM
The Sacramento Kings are in a very interesting position at No. 9 overall in the 2016 NBA Draft. DeMarcus Cousins is committed to the organization and Willie Cauley-Stein had a generally positive impact as a rookie, but the Kings’ defense is quite erratic.
Thus, there’s no more ideal a selection than Timothe Luwawu.
If the draft shakes out in this manner, there’s a strong possibility that Sacramento trades down and accumulates assets. The Kings need a shooting guard who can space the floor and defend at a high level, and there aren’t many immediate value options at this point in the draft.
It’s also possible that Luwawu will be available a few spots lower.
The reality is, Luwawu is exactly what the Kings need at shooting guard. He’s an explosive athlete with elite defensive potential, an intriguing stroke from beyond the arc, and the court vision to fuel the offense as a facilitator.
This could be perceived as a reach, but Luwawu’s upside is immense, and his game fits Sacramento’s biggest of needs.
Next: Milwaukee Bucks
10. Milwaukee Bucks: Jakob Poeltl, Utah Utes
Position: Center
Age: 20 (10/15/1995)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 7’1″, 242 pounds, 7’1″
Slash Line: .656/.000/.689
Season Averages: 30.4 MPG, 17.6 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 2.8 ORPG, 1.9 APG, 1.6 BPG
The Milwaukee Bucks attempted to build the future of the organization with center Greg Monroe. The harsh reality of Monroe’s arrival is that he lacks the defensive proficiency to anchor Milwaukee’s interior in the manner he needs to.
There are other options at No. 10 overall, but Jakob Poeltl makes the most sense if Milwaukee is seeking immediate value.
Poeltl is one of the best defensive big men in this draft class as a rim protector who keeps his man off the glass and disrupts the pick-and-roll. He’s not an elite athlete, but he’s dramatically improved his fundamentals on both ends since coming to Utah.
Poeltl isn’t as consistent in the post as Monroe, but he’s strong enough to place a high emphasis on his vastly superior defense.
Poeltl has good touch around the basket, and is a strong asset in operating the pick-and-roll. He’s 7’1″ with a matching wingspan, which continues the development of Milwaukee’s elite size at virtually every position.
Poeltl is a defensive-minded big man who crashes the boards, finishes around the basket, and continues to expand his range. He’s an excellent fit.
Next: Orlando Magic
11. Orlando Magic: Skal Labissiere, Kentucky Wildcats
Position: Center
Age: 20 (3/18/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 7’0″, 216 pounds, 7’1.5″
Slash Line: .517/.000/.661
Season Averages: 15.6 MPG, 6.5 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 1.0 ORPG, 1.6 BPG
The Orlando Magic have high-ceiling players at all five positions, with Elfrid Payton and Victor Oladipo in the backcourt, Evan Fournier and Mario Hezonja at the 3, Aaron Gordon at power forward, and Nikola Vucevic at center.
If there’s one thing missing from the Magic’s roster, it’s a big man who can control the defensive interior.
One might argue that Gordon has such potential, but he’s more of a competitive team defender than a rim protector. Vucevic is an offensive ace, but he lacks the ideal level of defensive consistency to be held in such regard.
Due to the fact that Vucevic is under contract for three more seasons, gambling on Skal Labissiere makes sense for the Magic.
The Magic’s current crop of assets would enable Labissiere to spend at least one full season committing to his body. He can also work to solidify his jump shot, which is as fundamentally impressive as any big man’s in the 2016 NBA Draft.
Labissiere is a tantalizing talent with limited immediate value, and that makes him the perfect prospect for Orlando to take on at this current juncture.
Next: Utah Jazz
12. Utah Jazz: Furkan Korkmaz, Anadolu Efes
Position: Shooting Guard
Age: 18 (7/24/1997)
Height & Weight: 6’7″ & 185 pounds
Slash Line: .480/.469/.600
Season Averages: 12.1 MPG, 4.7 PPG, 1.4 RPG, 0.7 APG, 0.9 3PM
The Utah Jazz have a frontcourt with tremendous potential in Derrick Favors, Rudy Gobert, Gordon Hayward, and Trey Lyles. That leaves the backcourt as the area of weakness that must be addressed.
In a battle of upside versus stability, this comes down to point guard Demetrius Jackson and wing Furkan Korkmaz.
Jackson would provide a necessary impact at point guard as Dante Exum returns from injury and Trey Burke recovers from being benched. Korkmaz could be the impact player at shooting guard who provides explosive athleticism and a smooth shooting stroke.
Both players could be of immense value, but it’s Korkmaz who’s the selection due to Exum’s pending return to the rotation.
Jackson is the better short-term option, and he may even become the superior player. Exum is the team’s future at point guard, however, and any alternative option will likely be found in free agency.
What can’t be found in free agency is a talent as young and moldable as Kormaz, and that makes him the perfect player for Quin Snyder’s system.
Next: Phoenix Suns
13. Phoenix Suns (via Wizards): Deyonta Davis, Michigan State Spartans
Position: Power Forward
Age: 19 (12/2/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’9.5″, 212 pounds, 7’1.5″
Slash Line: .597/.000/.605
Season Averages: 18.7 MPG, 7.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 2.1 ORPG, 0.8 APG, 1.9 BPG
At No. 3 overall, the Phoenix Suns found an upside player at small forward in California Golden Bears star Jaylen Brown. It’s understandable for some to want an immediate impact at No. 13, but the Suns should again value potential with a second lottery pick.
With a need for a power forward who can block shots and get out in transition, Phoenix selects Deyonta Davis at No. 13 overall.
Davis is still very raw, but he has intriguing physical gifts at 6’10” with a 7’2″ wingspan and the leaping ability to contest any shot that comes his way. He’s already an excellent shot-blocker, averaging 1.9 blocks per game in just 18.7 minutes of action.
That translates to 3.7 blocks per 36 minutes.
If Phoenix can develop Davis as the long-term answer at power forward, it can become a more viable contender. The likes of Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight provide immediate value at the guard spots, and Brown could be a star, but Phoenix desperately needs a rim protector.
At this current point in time, there’s no better move for Phoenix at No. 13 than drafting Davis.
Next: Chicago Bulls
14. Chicago Bulls: Marquese Chriss, Washington Huskies
Position: Power Forward
Age: 18 (7/2/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’8.75″, 225 pounds, 7’1″
Slash Line: .528/.351/.670
Season Averages: 24.7 MPG, 13.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 2.5 ORPG, 0.8 APG, 1.6 BPG
This is the first turning point of the 2016 NBA Draft. What the Chicago Bulls do at No. 14 will go a long way towards deciding who goes where from hereon out, and it all comes down to a battle of immediate fit and long-term value.
Denzel Valentine is a Fred Hoiberg type of player, but the very same can be said about Marquese Chriss—an excellent shot-blocker who can convert from beyond the arc.
Valentine makes sense from the perspective that he’s a do-it-all offensive contributor who fits the mold of a Georges Niang or Royce Young—two of Hoiberg’s best players as a college coach. He wouldn’t be much of a reach at No. 14, either.
The reality is, Chicago is primed to lose both Pau Gasol and Joakim Noah to free agency, and Chriss is the type of player who can fill their void.
Chriss actually fits Hoiberg’s offense well as an explosive athlete who can work the pick-and-roll and space the floor from beyond the arc. He’s a bit of a project, but he’s already an excellent shot-blocker with the athleticism to be an impact player at the next level.
There’s logic behind selecting Valentine, but Chicago would benefit more from signing a veteran and developing a younger prospect to operate alongside Bobby Portis—a player who could be moved to a small-ball center.
Next: Denver Nuggets
15. Denver Nuggets (via Rockets): Ivan Rabb, California Golden Bears
Position: Power Forward
Age: 19 (2/4/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’9.75″, 215 pounds, 7’2″
Slash Line: .615/.500/.699
Season Averages: 28.7 MPG, 12.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 2.8 ORPG, 0.9 APG, 1.2 BPG
The Denver Nuggets made a move that fits Michael Malone’s system by drafting Buddy Hield at No. 7 overall. At No. 15, the Nuggets go for an upside player who, again, fits Michael Malone’s offensive vision.
Denver would likely trade down from this position if the NBA Draft transpires in this manner, but Ivan Rabb would be excellent compensation at No. 15.
Rabb does a lot of things that aren’t often found in 19-year-old prospects. He uses the glass when finishing in the paint, positions himself well for offensive rebounds, and is beginning to understand how much of an asset his 7’2″ wingspan can be.
Rabb also runs the floor well, gets after the offensive glass, and has a baby hook that implies upside in the post.
Kenneth Faried is already on the roster at power forward, and while I appreciate his individual game, how far have his contributions taken Denver? Rabb isn’t the athlete that Faried is, and he needs to bulk up, but his ceiling is higher.
Denver already has a deep crop of interior players, but when you’re on the outside looking in of the postseason, best player available is a difficult strategy to go against.
Next: Boston Celtics
16. Boston Celtics (via Mavericks): Denzel Valentine, Michigan State Spartans
Position: Guard/Forward
Age: 22 (11/16/1993)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’5.5″, 223 pounds, 6’9.5″
Slash Line: .464/.447/.853
Season Averages: 32.8 MPG, 19.4 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 7.6 APG, 1.0 SPG, 3.4 3PM
The Boston Celtics have an All-Star point guard in Isaiah Thomas and a respected 3-and-D shooting guard in Avery Bradley. With all due respect to those two players, one can’t help but wonder how far Boston can go with a backcourt that features a 5’9″ point guard and a 6’2″ shooting guard.
Adding the 6’6″ Denzel Valentine to the mix could be the perfect move for Brad Stevens’ offensive attack.
Bradley and Thomas are far more than just effective, but having a player with Valentine’s size and versatility would transform the offense. Valentine struggles to consistently create penetration against NBA-caliber athletes, but he’s a phenomenal shooter and a brilliant facilitator.
Valentine could essentially fill the same role as Evan Turner, but with a significantly better jump shot and superior court vision.
While Turner has made 103 3-point field goals on 28.8 percent shooting since 2013-14, Valentine converted 104 on 44.4 percent shooting in 31 games alone in 2015-16. Stats only tell so much of the story, but Valentine essentially does everything that Turner does offensively with a dramatically better jump shot.
If Stevens can help Valentine develop into the quality defender that Turner has become, Boston would make a significant improvement along the perimeter with this pick.
Next: Memphis Grizzlies
17. Memphis Grizzlies: Wade Baldwin IV, Vanderbilt Commodores
Position: Point Guard
Age: 20 (3/29/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’3″, 195 pounds, 6’10”
Slash Line: .430/.414/.796
Season Averages: 30.3 MPG, 14.3 PPG, 5.2 APG, 4.0 RPG, 1.2 SPG, 1.3 3PM
This is the second major turning point of the 2016 NBA Draft. The Memphis Grizzlies have a chance to draft the player who could be the next Zach Randolph in Domantas Sabonis, but they could also lose point guard Mike Conley to free agency.
This comes down to the trio of Wade Baldwin IV, Demetrius Jackson and Sabonis.
As perfect as Sabonis developing behind Randolph would be, the Grizzlies need to address the possibility of Conley leaving through free agency. Even if he does return, Memphis needs a player who can solidify the second unit as a scorer and playmaker.
Jackson is higher on my big board, but Baldwin IV’s combination of size, length and accuracy as a shooter make him the pick.
Baldwin IV has a tantalizing physical build at 6’3″ and 195 pounds with an overwhelming 6’10” wingspan. He’s a fearless shooter with deep 3-point range, and is one of the best facilitators in this draft class, ranking No. 35 in the country in assist rate in 2015-16.
Sabonis would be an excellent fit, but Baldwin is a project player whom Memphis must take and develop.
Next: Denver Nuggets
18. Denver Nuggets (via Trail Blazers): Taurean Prince, Baylor Bears
Position: Small Forward
Age: 21 (8/22/1994)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’8″, 217 pounds, 6’11.5″
Slash Line: .432/.361/.774
Season Averages: 30.6 MPG, 15.9 PPG,
The Denver Nuggets are in a flexible position at No. 18 overall. Having already used two first-round draft picks on intriguing players in Buddy Hield and Marquese Chriss, Denver can either find a future cog at small forward or go for a draft-and-stash selection.
Chances are, Denver would trade down if it’s not going to package their picks and trade up.
If it holds onto this pick, the selection comes down to Notre Dame Fighting Irish star Demetrius Jackson and Baylor Bears wing Taurean Prince. Jackson is the better prospect, but Denver drafted a point guard in the Top 10 last season, and already has a surplus of big men and shooting guards.
It could make sense to draft a backup point guard, but going for a floor-spacing wing who can defend multiple positions is about more than fit; it’s about need.
Juan Hernangomez could soon usurp Prince on draft boards, but the latter is the better fit in Denver. He’s a big and physical wing who can defend multiple positions, space the floor with NBA range, and selflessly play off-ball.
Again, Jackson is the better prospect, and Prince is a reach, but I’m much more concerned with what drafting a player at Emmanuel Mudiay’s position in the Top 20 would do to him mentally than I am with finding a Plan B.
Next: Detroit Pistons
19. Detroit Pistons: Domantas Sabonis, Gonzaga Bulldogs
Position: Forward/Center
Age: 20 (3/5/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’10”, 238 pounds, 6’10.5″
Slash Line: .621/.357/.769
Season Averages: 31.9 MPG, 17.6 PPG, 11.8 RPG, 3.1 ORPG, 1.8 APG, 0.9 BPG
The Detroit Pistons have quite the combination of star-caliber players in point guard Reggie Jackson and center Andre Drummond. Jackson has proven to be one of the better clutch performers in the NBA, and Drummond is the most dominant rebounder in the game.
At No. 19 overall, Detroit’s selection comes down to one of two players: Juan Hernangomez and Domantas Sabonis.
Sabonis is the pick due to his unique combination of strength, physicality, rebounding ability, and offensive versatility. Hernangomez has a better jump shot, but is the same age—six months older, to be exact—with a build than isn’t nearly as ready for the NBA grind as Sabonis’ is.
Between his interior prowess, expanding shooting range, and incessant motor, Sabonis has the tools to become Stan Van Gundy’s full-time power forward.
Sabonis is an elite defensive rebounder and an exceptional finisher around the basket who uses the glass and has impressive body control. He’s not the best individual defender, but he’s improved tremendously since his freshman season and competes on every possession.
Sabonis could go as early as No. 13 to the Phoenix Suns, which makes his landing with Detroit at No. 19 a dream scenario.
Next: Indiana Pacers
20. Indiana Pacers: Demetrius Jackson, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Position: Point Guard
Age: 21 (9/7/1994)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’1″, 194 pounds, 6’4.75″
Slash Line: .451/.331/.813
Season Averages: 35.9 MPG, 15.8 PPG, 4.7 APG, 3.5 RPG, 1.2 SPG, 1.5 3PM
The Indiana Pacers have quite the intriguing combination of forwards in 25-year-old Paul George and 20-year-old Myles Turner. Turner could move to the 5, but there appears to be a desire for him to stay at the 4 with George at the 3.
Demetrius Jackson’s upside, as well as the fact that he could go as early as No. 9, makes it very easy to go point guard over center.
Jackson is one of the best point guard prospects in the 2016 NBA Draft, and one of the Top 15 overall players available. He’s built well at 6’1″ and a muscular 194 pounds with a near 6’5″ wingspan, which is the type of physical profile that Dave Joerger can put to great use.
From a skills perspective, Jackson has the court vision and shooting range to have an impact similar to Conley’s.
The intrigue surrounding Jackson is that he has the athletic gifts to make an impact in the NBA. He’s quick as lightning coming around high screens, and can erupt in the paint for explosive above-the-rim finishes.
Jackson is 21, but he has the athleticism and intangibles to be a very successful NBA point guard.
Next: Philadelphia 76ers
21. Philadelphia 76ers (via Heat): Tyler Ulis, Kentucky Wildcats
Position: Point Guard
Age: 20 (1/5/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 5’9″, 160 pounds, 6’1.25″
Slash Line: .434/.344/.856
Season Averages: 36.8 MPG, 17.3 PPG, 7.0 APG, 3.0 RPG, 1.5 SPG, 1.6 3PM
The Philadelphia 76ers hired Jerry Colangelo to expedite the rebuild. Colangelo’s had his hits and and misses in the NBA Draft, ranging from Andrea Bargnani to Amar’e Stoudemire, which creates varying opinions on how ready he is for the job.
Fortunately for Colangelo, there’s only one rational decision at No. 21 overall: Find a point guard.
Philadelphia trusted Ish Smith with the point guard duties in 2015-16, and for as well as he played, he isn’t the long-term option. Thus, the 76ers finally commit to building a roster that can compete by selecting a player who can both shoot and create for others.
With Ben Simmons likely to command a high volume of touches, Tyler Ulis’ on and off-ball versatility make him the ideal selection.
Ulis is only 5’9″, but he’s a fearless shooter and one of the very best facilitators in this draft class. He competes on both ends, can create penetration against NBA-caliber athletes, and rarely turns the ball over.
I understand the uneasiness surrounding his going in the Top 25, but if Simmons is Philadelphia’s first pick, it’ll need to find a point guard who can shoot. Having three first-round selections helps, as well.
Next: Boston Celtics
22. Boston Celtics: Diamond Stone, Maryland Terrapins
Position: Center
Age: 19 (2/10/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 7’0″, 255 pounds, 7’3.5″
Slash Line: .568/.000/.761
Season Averages: 23.1 MPG, 12.5 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 2.2 ORPG, 1.6 BPG
I understand the merit of fan favorites and quality players who help you win games, but who after Isaiah Thomas is a star-caliber player on the Boston Celtics’ roster? Some players have potential, but at this point in the draft, the Celtics must think long-term and target players who could develop into superior contributors to the current assets.
In doing so, Boston is brought to Maryland Terrapins big man Diamond Stone.
Stone is a physically imposing center who stands at a monstrous 7’0″ and 255 pounds with a near 7’4″ wingspan. He’s a very good free throw shooter, a force on the offensive glass, and, despite the preconceived notions about him, a strong shot-blocker.
Stone ranked in the Top 5 in the Big Ten in offensive rebound percentage and block percentage, and averaged 3.8 offensive rebounds and 2.7 blocks per 40 minutes.
Stone positions himself well around the basket, and follows his own misses with an overwhelming combination of strength and physicality. He has the makings of a solid face-up game with a midrange jump shot that, at the very least, must be respected.
Stone is essentially a taller and longer Jared Sullinger with superior potential defensively. Boston shouldn’t let him slip past No. 22.
Next: Atlanta Hawks
23. Atlanta Hawks: Jonathan Jeanne, Le Mans
Position: Center
Age: 18 (7/3/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 7’2″, 195 pounds, 7’6″
Slash Line: N/A
Season Averages: N/A
There’s a legitimate possibility that the Atlanta Hawks will lose Al Horford to free agency during the summer of 2016. Whether or not that comes to fruition, Atlanta must acknowledge the fact that Tiago Splitter hasn’t provided the necessary impact as a backup.
Both of those factors lead Atlanta to selecting French big man Jonathan Jeanne.
If Thon Maker is intriguing, then Jeanne is nothing short of alluring as a prospect. He’s a skilled big man with the raw skills to create his own offense in transition and the half court, which includes his pulling up for jump shots—as evidenced by his averaging 0.6 3-point field goal made on 38.2 percent shooting from beyond the arc in 2014-15.
A red flag exists in that Jeanne is an obscenely thin 195 pounds, but he’s also 7’2″ with a 7’6″ wingspan.
Physically, Jeanne is essentially Rudy Gobert with a jump shot and handles. He’s raw in both regards, but the ability exists, and that’s something that can be fine-tuned to the point of his being a genuine halfcourt threat to score from all over the court in the NBA.
The Hawks, which have built their offense around the versatility of Al Horford and Paul Millsap, are the perfect destination.
Next: Charlotte Hornets
24. Charlotte Hornets: Brice Johnson, North Carolina Tar Heels
Position: Power Forward
Age: 21 (6/27/1994)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’9.5″, 230 pounds, 6’11”
Slash Line: .614/.000/.772
Season Averages: 27.3 MPG, 16.6 PPG, 10.6 RPG, 2.9 ORPG, 1.5 APG, 1.3 BPG, 1.1 SPG
Just as the Atlanta Hawks may lose Al Horford, the Charlotte Hornets could be forced to part ways with veteran center Al Jefferson during the summer of 2016. Even if Jefferson does return, there are rational questions about how much the 31-year-old has left in the tank.
If Frank Kaminsky is Charlotte’s long-term answer at the 5—being selected in the Top 10 in 2015 suggests he is—then Brice Johnson would be the perfect fit at the 4.
While Kaminsky utilizes his fundamentals and versatility to score below the rim, Johnson is an explosive finisher who can excel in the pick-and-roll. He’s still developing his jump shot, but Johnson has come a long way as a rebounder and team defender.
Johnson may be the best defensive rebounder in this draft class, and his explosiveness creates immense potential as an offensive rebounder in an NBA that doesn’t box out like it used to.
How Johnson measures at the NBA Draft Combine—specifically his wingspan—will go a long way towards determining where he comes off the board. In this scenario, however, Charlotte trusts Steve Clifford to tap into his potential as a shot-blocker and thus become a key two-way player.
The fact that Johnson is an in-state player helps, but it doesn’t fuel this decision.
Next: Los Angeles Clippers
25. Los Angeles Clippers: Dejounte Murray, Washington Huskies
Position: Combo Guard
Age: 19 (9/19/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’5″, 170 pounds, 6’9.5″
Slash Line: .416/.288/.663
Season Averages: 33.5 MPG, 16.1 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 4.4 APG, 1.8 SPG, 1.0 3PM
The Los Angeles Clippers have an elite point guard in Chris Paul, an offensively dynamic power forward in Blake Griffin, and an All-NBA center in DeAndre Jordan. J.J. Redick has developed into a legitimate 3-and-D player, which makes him an excellent complementary asset.
With a 35-year-old Jamal Crawford preparing to hit unrestricted free agency, Dejounte Murray is the perfect player to groom as his replacement.
Murray is essentially this year’s Michael Carter-Williams, which should land him in the first round. He’s a 6’5″ point guard who does it all on both ends, albeit with one critical flaw: he can’t shoot.
With that being said, the intrigue surrounding Murray is based in his positional versatility—something that couldn’t be said about Carter-Williams.
Damian Jones is the best player available, and Juan Hernangomez has tremendous upside, but the Clippers aren’t in need of another big man. Murray, meanwhile, fits the need for an athletic combo guard who can step in and provide a long-term impact.
Crawford has proven more than willing to mentor players from Washington, and Murray could be the next in line.
Next: Philadelphia 76ers
26. Philadelphia 76ers (via Thunder): Malik Beasley, Florida State Seminoles
Position: Shooting Guard
Age: 19 (11/26/1996)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’4″, 185 pounds, 6’6″
Slash Line: .471/.387/.813
Season Averages: 29.8 MPG, 15.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 1.5 APG, 0.9 SPG, 1.6 3PM
The last thing the Philadelphia 76ers need to do is add another big man, which brings them to Florida State Seminoles shooting guard Malik Beasley. Beasley is an athletic sharpshooter who can play above the rim and space the floor with intriguing range and accuracy.
Philadelphia is building around some combination of promising big men and a small forward, Ben Simmons, who can’t shoot—a combination that requires an abundance of marksmen.
Beasley is working his way up draft boards due to his intriguing combination of athleticism and shooting range. He’s still somewhat raw, and he’ll need to measure better than his listed 6’4″ with a 6’6″ wingspan, but his explosiveness is intriguing.
Assuming he tests well at the NBA Draft Combine, Beasley should be a first-round selection.
Beasley’s athletic ability could prove helpful under head coach Brett Brown—a product of the San Antonio Spurs. Beasley can essentially be a more explosive version of J.J. Redick in the sense that he can lose his man off-ball and knock down midrange and 3-point jumpers.
For those who feel Beasley and Ulis were reaches, call this the cost of doing business when building around some combination of non-shooters in Joel Embiid, Nerlens Noel, Jahlil Okafor, and Simmons.
Next: Toronto Raptors
27. Toronto Raptors: Patrick McCaw, UNLV Rebels
Position: Shooting Guard
Age: 20 (10/25/1995)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’7″, 185 pounds, 6’9″
Slash Line: .465/.366/.774
Season Averages: 33.7 MPG, 14.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.9 APG, 2.5 SPG, 2.1 3PM
Patrick McCaw isn’t the most highly-touted prospect in this draft class, but he has significant upside. He’s a long and lanky player who can defend multiple positions, contribute across the board offensively, and play well above the rim.
I understand the inevitable hesitation surrounding this selection, but McCaw is a player who will generate significantly more buzz as the NBA Draft nears.
McCaw has elite defensive potential as a 6’7″ shooting guard who dominated the passing lanes and showed lockdown upside in each of his two collegiate seasons. He’s also a very good shooter who can facilitate, create off the bounce, and crash the boards.
The improvements McCaw made from 2014-15 to 2015-16 are telling signs of his vast potential.
After shooting 44.8 percent on 2-point field goals as a freshman, he upped that number to 56.4 percent in 2015-16—an absurd improvement of 11.6 percent. On a per 40 minutes basis, he went from averages of 13.0 points, 4.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 2.0 steals, to 17.5 points, 6.1 rebounds, 4.6 assists, and 2.9 steals.
This may seem like a reach today, but with his physical gifts, two-way versatility, and improving skill set, McCaw should work his way into the first round.
Next: Phoenix Suns
28. Phoenix Suns (from Cavaliers, via Celtics): Damian Jones, Vanderbilt Commodores
Position: Center
Age: 20 (6/30/1995)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 7’0″, 245 pounds, 7’2″
Slash Line: .590/.000/.536
Season Averages: 26.2 MPG, 13.9 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 2.2 ORPG, 1.2 APG, 1.6 BPG
With Alex Len still struggling to come into his own, the Phoenix Suns shouldn’t be afraid to take the best player available. In this scenario, that player is Vanderbilt Commodores big man Damian Jones.
Jones has lottery pick talent and upside, but Phoenix actually benefits from his red flags by landing him at No. 28.
Jones has the size and skill level to be a much better player than he was at Vanderbilt. He’s a 7’0″ center with a 7’2″ wingspan, impressive agility, NBA-caliber leaping ability, and the shot-blocking potential to be a true defensive anchor.
Jones even has the bare minimum for a post game, with a quality baby hook and the size to overwhelm his opponents when throwing his body around.
The issue with Jones isn’t what he can do, but what he actually does with those gifts. He failed to capitalize on his athletic and defensive advantages while playing for Vanderbilt, and that’s a concerning sign for general managers hoping to find a player who can anchor the interior.
With three first-round draft picks, it only makes sense for Phoenix to make a low-risk gamble on Jones at No. 28 overall.
Next: San Antonio Spurs
29. San Antonio Spurs: Ante Zizic, Cibona Zagreb
Position: Center
Age: 19 (1/4/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 6’11”, 254 pounds, 7’3″
Slash Line: .648/.000/.716
Season Averages: 27.5 MPG, 14.2 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 2.6 ORPG, 0.7 APG, 1.4 BPG
The San Antonio Spurs have a number intriguing options at No. 29 overall, and every one of them comes with immense potential. The two most realistic options for San Antonio can be found at center, where Tim Duncan is nearing the end of his glorious road.
The question is, would San Antonio rather go with Ante Zizic or Ivica Zubac?
Zubac is gaining steam, but Zizic has been in my Top 30 for quite some time now. He’s a big and athletic center who runs the floor well, sets hard screens in the pick-and-roll, and has the potential to develop into a very solid defender in the NBA.
Zubac’s size and potential are difficult to ignore, but Zizic has a raw passion for the game is very difficult to find in players.
Zizic plays from whistle to whistle, competing without relent and checking the boxes on what it means to be a modern 5. His skill set is still relatively raw, but his willingness to learn and athleticism would bring a much-needed spark to San Antonio’s aging interior.
If developed in the ideal manner—and we all know San Antonio can do that—Zizic could be a starting-caliber NBA player.
Next: Phoenix Suns
30. Golden State Warriors: Thon Maker, Athlete Institute
Position: Power Forward
Age: 19 (2/25/1997)
Height, Weight, Wingspan: 7’1″, 225 pounds, 7’3.5″
Slash Line: N/A
Season Averages: N/A
This is Kevon Looney all over again. I’m not entirely sold on Thon Maker being a star-caliber prospect, but there’s only so much you can say to knock a 7’1″ power forward with guard-like raw skills.
The Golden State Warriors have the luxury of being able to swing for the fences with a great deal of talent already on the roster, and Maker is the type of prospect who enables the Warriors to do so.
Golden State has an elite roster, as evidenced by the fact that it went 73-9 in 2015-16 and won the 2015 NBA championship. Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson make up the best backcourt in the game, Draymond Green is a force at the 4, and the depth is astounding.
Adding Maker, who could potentially thrive as a small-ball 5 with his combination of elite size and ideal athleticism, could transform the future of the team into an even greater force.
For those unfamiliar, Maker is a 7’1″ big man who can handle the ball, shoot with range out to the NBA 3-point line, and block shots with relative ease. Some are troubled by his passive nature, but in the NBA, that can be fixed by the right coach—someone like Steve Kerr, for instance.
If Maker were to live up to his immense potential, Golden State would be even more unfair than it already is.
Next: Round 2, Picks 31-40
31. Boston Celtics (via 76ers): Paul Zipser, Bayern Muenchen
- The Boston Celtics have an abundance of picks, which makes drafting for, “Need,” relatively obsolete. With the first pick in the second round, however, Boston goes for a player at a position of minimal depth: small forward. Paul Zipser is generally viewed as a potential role player, but he contributes across the board. He’s a selfless contributor who has improved his jump shot and has NBA-caliber physical gifts at the 3.
32. Los Angeles Lakers: Ivica Zubac, Mega Leks
- The Los Angeles Lakers drafted Brandon Ingram in the first round, thus rounding out the core of scorers and playmakers. What the Lakers lack is a big-body center who can make an impact in the paint. That player can be Ivica Zubac. Zubac is a 7’1″ and 265-pound big man who just turned 19 in March. He’s not particulary explosive, but his size and strength is uncanny. The proper development could make him a standout player.
33. Los Angeles Clippers (via Nets): DeAndre Bembry, Saint Joseph’s Hawks
- The Los Angeles Clippers found an athletic and positionally versatile guard who can get out in transition in the first round with Dejounte Murray. In the second round, Los Angeles targets a weakness by finding a player who can definitely play the 3: DeAndre Bembry. Bembry is a lackluster shooter, but he’s a shot-creator. He’s an excellent passer who plays selflessly and has the athleticism to finish in the paint. Bembry could sneak into the first round, but in this scenario, the Clippers get a player with the potential to start at No. 33.
34. Phoenix Suns: Juan Hernangomez, Estudiantes
- The Phoenix Suns had a surplus of draft picks in the first round. Now in Round 2, the Suns can continue to target upside with Juan Hernangomez. Hernangomez, one of my Top 30 prospects, is a face-up power forward with range beyond the 3-point line and the fluid athleticism to run in transition. He could potentially play the 3 in the same manner that Nikola Mirotic has for the Chicago Bulls, which creates rotational flexibility. If nothing else, he can be what Markieff Morris was—is?—supposed to be.
35. Boston Celtics (via Timberwolves): Caris LeVert, Michigan Wolverines
- The injury concerns are overwhelming, but this is Round 2. When you’ve had as many draft picks as the Boston Celtics, you can—and should—gamble on the few players with genuine star potential. Caris LeVert certainly fits the bill as a positionally versatile player—he could run point, play shooting guard, and work the 3—with 6’7″ size and a lottery-pick skill level. He can space the floor, facilitate the offense, and even create penetration. LeVert has star potential if he can stay healthy.
36. Milwaukee Bucks (via Pelicans): Petr Cornelie, Le Mans
- The Milwaukee Bucks could go in a number of different directions here, but Petr Cornelie makes the most sense. He’s a 7’0″ power forward with an efficient stroke from 3-point range and a stunning 7’1″ wingspan. He moves smoothly without the ball, gets himself open, and spaces the floor. Milwaukee certainly needs to shoot better than it currently does, which makes Cornelie an easy selection. He’s also a player who could one day start alongside Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jabari Parker.
37. Houston Rockets (via Knicks): Zhou Qi, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- This is all about upside. Zhou Qi is a tantalizing talent who will have trade value in the very near future. The worst case scenario is the Houston Rockets spends a second-round draft pick on a 7’2″ center who can shoot jumpers, but can’t play inside due to his incredibly thin frame. There isn’t much risk come Round 2—especially not in a market with as vast an Asian fanbase as Houston.
38. New Orleans Pelicans (via Nuggets): Stephen Zimmerman, UNLV Rebels
- Stephen Zimmerman is one of the Top 25 prospects in the 2016 NBA Draft. It simply cannot be overstated how few teams need a center in the Top 35. Thus, the New Orleans Pelicans hit the jackpot and land Zimmerman at No. 38. Zimmerman, a floor-spacing 7’0″ center who can block shots and excels on the defensive glass, could be the perfect complement to Anthony Davis.
39. Milwaukee Bucks: Melo Trimble, Maryland Terrapins
- With a second pick in four spots, the Milwaukee Bucks have to go point guard. Jason Kidd said that Giannis Antetokounmpo would run point in 2016-17, and Michael Carter-Williams contested it, but Milwaukee still needs depth. If MCW isn’t the answer, and signs point to him not being so, the Bucks will need a more well-rounded offensive player to anchor the second unit. Melo Trimble can be that guy. Trimble’s not an elite shooter, but his midrange game is lethal, his penetration skills are quite impressive, and his outside shot is far better than Carter-Williams’.
40. New Orleans Pelicans (via Kings): Malcolm Brogdon, Virginia Cavaliers
- The New Orleans Pelicans already took Jamal Murray, who could play both the 1 and the 2. That doesn’t mean their search for depth in the backcourt is over. That’s been far too critical an issue during Dell Demps’ tenure. Thus, the Pelicans select yet another player who fits Alvin Gentry’s structure: Malcolm Brogdon. Brogdon is a 3-and-D wing who has the potential to play lockdown defense at the next level. He may not become a star, but he can be a consistent rotational plug.
Next: Round 2, Picks 41-50
41. Orlando Magic: Wayne Selden, Kansas Jayhawks
- Wayne Selden possesses the most potential of any shooting guard available. Selden’s one of my Top 35 prospects, albeit as one of the more polarizing prospects available. He’s an explosive athlete who plays above the rim, is of value to any and every team. He’s a streaky shooter, but when on his game, Selden can shoot the lights out. The Orlando Magic have a very deep roster already, but Selden’s upside would be worth exploring. Don’t forget that Evan Fournier could fall out of their price range as a free agent in 2016.
42. Utah Jazz: Gary Payton II, Oregon State Beavers
- The Utah Jazz took an upside player at shooting guard during Round 1 in international shooting guard Furkan Korkmaz. In Round 2, the Jazz go a safer route and address the clear void at point guard with Gary Payton II. The Oregon State Beavers star has the defensive potential to fit Quin Snyder’s system. He’s also an explosive athlete who can set the table as a facilitator. At No. 42, it doesn’t get much better than this.
43. Houston Rockets: Malik Newman, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- The Houston Rockets need a point guard who can play on-ball and off-ball when James Harden is on the floor, and create penetration when he’s on the bench. There are players better overall, but there aren’t many better suited for such a role than Malik Newman. Newman isn’t the most ideal defensive fit alongside Harden, but there isn’t much risk involved in picking at No. 43. Newman is an outstanding shooter with the quickness to get around his man and attack. Working on his defense will be the key.
44. Atlanta Hawks (via Washington): Isaia Cordinier, Denain
- The Atlanta Hawks need to swing for the fences, as far as upside is concerned, and targeting Isaia Cordinier is a great way to do so. He’s a 6’5″ shooting guard who would provide the upside at shooting guard which Atlanta currently lacks. More importantly, he’s a low-risk and high-reward type of prospect at this point in the draft. There are other options, but there’s no reason to ignore his value here.
45. Boston Celtics (via Memphis): Cheick Diallo, Kansas Jayhawks
- If any team is in a position to give Cheick Diallo a shot, it’s the Boston Celtics. Boston has a ridiculous number of draft picks, which gives it the flexibility to gamble on at least one upside player. That’s what it does with Diallo, who entered the collegiate ranks with tremendous hype. After a lackluster freshman season, however, no one knows what to expect. If Boston can maximize Diallo’s potential, it could strike gold.
46. Dallas Mavericks: A.J. Hammons, Purdue Boilermakers
- A.J. Hammons has been one of the Top 30 prospects on my big board throughout the entirety of 2015-16. Due to the limited need for centers, as well as his age, he falls to No. 46. That’s the perfect outcome for the Dallas Mavericks. Hammons can be Dallas’ rim protector as a 7’0″ and 278-pound goliath with a 7’3″ wingspan. He blocks shots at an elite rate, and has even expanded his shooting range. Simply put, Hammons could be the steal of the draft.
47. Orlando Magic (via Bulls): Anthony Barber, North Carolina State Wolfpack
- The Orlando Magic have promising players at all five positions, which fueled the selection of project player Skal Labissiere at No. 11 overall. Wayne Selden was added to the mix for his athleticism and shooting ability. At No. 47, the Magic go the point guard route by drafting Anthony Barber. Barber is a muscular point guard with cat-like quickness—hence the nickname “Cat” Barber—and a dramatically improved jump shot. Barber is an elite slasher who gets to the line with ease. He could be a steal.
48. Detroit Pistons: Jake Layman, Maryland Terrapins
- The Detroit Pistons found the power forward of the future in the first round in the form of Domantas Sabonis. Shooting guard is most certainly an option at No. 48, but Jake Layman is too good to pass over. Layman fills a need for Detroit, which makes this even easier to justify. He’s a tall and athletic small forward who can shoot—52 3-point field goals at a clip of 40.6 percent—and that makes him the perfect fit.
49. Chicago Bulls (via Trail Blazers): Georges Niang, Iowa State Cyclones
- Fred Hoiberg valued well-rounded and positionally versatile players as a college coach. It appears as though he does the same with the Chicago Bulls. Thus, one of Hoiberg’s most storied collegiate players, Georges Niang, is the pick at No. 49 overall. Niang is a victim of positional ambiguity, but if any coach can help him find his niche in the NBA, it’s the man who helped him find it in college. A shooter who can post up, facilitate, and drive, Niang could thrive in Chicago.
50. Indiana Pacers: Josh Hart, Villanova Wildcats
- If there’s one thing that’s known about Larry Bird as an executive, it’s that he values versatility. He famously found Lance Stephenson at No. 40 overall in the 2010 NBA Draft, and he has a chance to do something just as big with Josh Hart at No. 50. Hart broke out during the NCAA Tournament as a 6’5″ shooting guard who plays from the inside-out. He could bring a unique combination of skills to a team that needs help collapsing defenses. Being a champion always helps.
Next: Round 2, Picks 51-60
51. Atlanta Hawks: Nigel Hayes, Wisconsin Badgers
- At this point in the NBA Draft, why not? Nigel Hayes is a positionally versatile player who, in the past, has drawn comparisons to current Atlanta Hawks power forward Paul Millsap. He had a down year in 2015-16, and that is concerning, but Hayes is a good basketball player. He may not be built for life in the spotlight, but as a role player, he can be a very effective contributor. Versatility pays.
52. Boston Celtics (via Heat): Isaiah Whitehead, Seton Hall Pirates
- The Boston Celtics have drafted enough players to build an entirely new rotation. One of the few missing pieces from this draft class—and, aside from Isaiah Thomas, the roster—is a player who can come in and provide instant offense. That’s who Isaiah Whitehead could become. Whitehead is wildly inefficient, and still quite raw, but he can score from all over the court. His upside is legitimate, and his versatility on both ends could prove invaluable for Brad Stevens.
53. Utah Jazz (via Celtics): Jarrod Uthoff, Iowa Hawkeyes
- The Utah Jazz have enough draft picks to gamble. At pick No. 53, why wouldn’t they? Jarrod Uthoff makes it easy to do, as one of the most well-rounded players in this draft class. He’s thin for a 22-year-old power forward, but he has a nice combination of size and skill. He stands at 6’10” and shot above 37 percent from 3-point range in three consecutive seasons.
54. Denver Nuggets (via Hornets): Kay Felder, Oakland Grizzlies
- The Denver Nuggets don’t need very much, but attempting to find a potential backup point guard wouldn’t be such a bad idea at No. 54. Kay Felder certainly has the skill to thrive under head coach Michael Malone, so why not give him a shot? Despite standing at 5’9″, Felder averaged 24.2 points, 9.3 assists, 4.1 rebounds, 2.0 steals, and 2.1 3-point field goals made as a junior. Numbers only say so much, but he has quite the fan base in NBA Draft circles.
55. Brooklyn Nets (via Clippers): Robert Carter Jr., Maryland Terrapins
- The Brooklyn Nets could go need, but the rational option is to find a player who fits. Brook Lopez is an interior-oriented big man, and that makes Robert Carter Jr. the smart pick. Carter Jr. is a 6’8″ power forward with a 7’2″ wingspan and 3-point range. He has the potential to develop into a stretch 4, and that makes him the type of weapon Kenny Atkinson can develop—a la Paul Millsap.
56. Denver Nuggets (via Thunder): Prince Ibeh, Texas Longhorns
- The Denver Nuggets have drafted enough players to go best player available. In this instance, that player is center Prince Ibeh. Ibeh actually fills a potential need—shot-blocking—as a big and productive rim protector. He was No. 7 in the country in block percentage and cracked the Top 40 in offensive rebound percentage. Per 40 averages of 4.4 blocks and 5.0 offensive boards are intriguing enough to justify interest.
57. Memphis Grizzlies (via Raptors): Sheldon McClellan, Miami Hurricanes
- The Memphis Grizzlies found a point guard in Round 1 in Vanderbilt Commodores floor general Wade Baldwin IV. at No. 57 overall, Memphis takes a player who has an NBA-caliber combination of virtues in Sheldon McClellan. McClellan is an athletic shooting guard with 3-point range. He’s already 23 years old, but that doesn’t change the fact that he’s the type of player Dave Joerger can turn into a high-quality contributor.
58. Boston Celtics (via Cavaliers): Yogi Ferrell, Indiana Hoosiers
- One of the most popular players in this draft class is Indiana Hoosiers point guard Yogi Ferrell. He may or may not catch on with the Boston Celtics, but Boston has too many available draft picks to pass over a player this talented. The worst case scenario is that it doesn’t work out. The best case scenario is that Ferrell does for Boston what he’s done for Indiana: envigorate the locker room, step up in the clutch, and outshine all expectations.
59. Sacramento Kings (via Spurs): Ben Bentil, Providence Friars
- Providence power forward Ben Bentil is an intriguing player. He’s a very strong 6’9″ and 235 pounds with the combination of skill and physicality to carve out a very strong NBA career. He can shoot with range beyond the arc—he made 48 3-point field goals in 2015-16—and does an excellent job of playing through contact. Bentil’s still developing his jump shot, but he’s already improved to the point of being on the NBA radar as a potential stretch 4. The Sacramento Kings have nothing to lose here.
More hoops habit: Which of the current NBA stars made the 2015-16 HoopsHabit All-NBA Teams?
60. Utah Jazz (via Warriors): Chinanu Onuaku, Louisville Cardinals
- The Utah Jazz already have a deep interior, but at No. 60 overall, there’s no harm in going best player available. Louisville center Chinanu Onuaku is a victim of circumstance. He has genuine NBA potential as an athletic rim protector who can alter shots and keep his man off the boards. He may be raw as a prospect, but Mr. Irrelevant could become a high-quality NBA player.